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December 15, 2007

Population Control Propaganda Slipped Casually In

In the middle of a Washington Post story on China now experiencing a population increase, in part due to the erosion of its totalitarian forced one-child policy, this paragraph of population control propaganda slips in without even the decency of legitimate weasel words like "many say" or "officials say" or "is widely held":

For more than three decades, China has imposed tight controls on population growth. By limiting how many people compete for scarce resources, the country has been able to lift millions out of poverty.

Of course, we also learn the real evils of such a brutally coercive population policy is not that it is grotesquely totalitarian or economically senseless, but that it may be -- gasp -- objectively sexist:

But population control policies have also contributed to a growing sex imbalance -- boys are preferred.

China's One Child Left Behind policy is probably more intrusive to private intimate family decisionmaking and "a woman's body" than Pope Benedict, the late Jerry Falwell, and the traditional sharia combined, at least as it comes to family childbearing. But that's unnoticed in a paper that usually stands by rights to make reproductive choices. Gender bias in compulsory aborting. Horror.

Such are the amazing idiocies of the Population Control Mafia. (I do suspect, however, the story writer's current roots in Communist-policed Hong Kong may have affected the written product.)

Still, back to the basic premise. So, China has pulled itself upward by fascist family planning? By sending out the Sperm Cops? Rubbish. That's about as post hoc ergo propter hoc logical as saying the Cultural Revolution created the current properity.

Look folks, China has been upward bound lately because -- duh -- it has liberalized much of the economy for its very sizable population.

It's not hard to figure that. We even have, as scientists say, a "control" for testing: Taiwan.

Taiwan is culturally Chinese. It too has agriculture and industry and so-so natural resources (although it does not have, as big China does, lots of offshore oil, or rivers and rivers, and oodles of historic ports, and overland connections to other places .) Still,Taiwan has nevertheless over the years bolted itself up to near-First World status economically. Big China hasn't. But Taiwan has had no drastic population control policy.

What's the difference? Ah, you say, Taiwan has fewer people.

True but it doesn't fly. "Overpopulation" is a people-to-land ratio thing, i.e. density. And Taiwan's population ratio is -- listen carefully --- about 6 times that of Big China, and it has no overland supply routes for surplus needs or outmigration. And it had for a long time a police state and leader cult too.

Now think about it: Taiwan, the dramatically more overcrowded Chinese place -- let's not even get into Hong Kong which may superprove the point -- has had a relatively liberal economic system. And no population controls. Taiwan has had not just one, but two relatively more liberal policy areas related to supply, demand, production, and all that neat stuff. Guess what? They've kicked Mr. One-Child China's economic butt all over the place and have a high-level standard of living generally.

Of course, we do know that One-Child China now has a better standard of living for millions lately. Now think carefully: is this more likely to be due to a policy that lowers the size of the younger labor force that supports a large aging agrarian labor force, or might it be more closely tied to the introduction of economic policies that are relatively liberal, and closer to Taiwan's. Ones that allow persons to actually keep a fair portion of the wealth they generate?

This is not difficult and not a close call.

That Population Control totalitarian mental retardate cult premises are nevertheless elided as given proven "fact" in a mainstream news story almost makes me want to feel right-wingish again.

Posted by Matthew Hogan at December 15, 2007 08:57 PM
Filed Under: Economic Issues , Rants- General , US Politics


Comments

Ah, mate, I think you have gone round the bend on this.

The Chinese pop growth braked rather specifically because of the draconian population controls. Yes, they had unliberal impacts, but given the prior trajectory, well, liberal solutions are not a one size fits all, eh?

As for your pro market blithering on, as strong as I am in believing in the power of markets, objectively Chinese pop growth was braked before market reform really kicked in.

Economic growth helping incentivize these habits and changing values from something police state imposed to population / market driven, well that is fine, although in the present state of China with its strange combo of free market and totalitarianism... Well I look at the enviro disasters ongoing there and I say, Free Market Liberal, be modest in claiming the successes, as the failures are also there.

Posted by: The Lounsbury at December 17, 2007 07:11 PM

Actually I am being rather moderate here except on the more moralistic point.

I have little doubt the campaign was to some degree successful in being effecitve but I am uncertain if it was necessary. And yes, I am being additionally a moralist, I dont like intrusion on such private matters by totalitarians or any government.

Nor am I being rapturous about the current state of China or its half-free market and unfree government. I am merely stating that there is nothing about China that required repressive coercive population solutions. Its population density is comparatively LOW and Chinese people in areas where it is much higher do rather well. Perhaps the more densely populated Chinese did well because those people liveed in systems that for a longer time allowed relatively free safe commerce and stuff (Taiwan and Hong Kong). And big China is doing more of that now, and doing somewhat better as a result.

I am not a utopian, just know that some things which are morally repressive like forced child control are wrong and in this case almost certainly unnecessary, and no way an automatic given as cause of China's rebound (it may not have harmed much either except for depriving people of rightful choices).

China has more people today than ever and the same resources and is nonetheless doing *better*, and no one is talking population control but baby boom.

It is not hard to figure why. A positive economic change towards commerce and economic rights led to a less bad situation economically. Almost a tautology.

Environmental issues, sure, but figure a system for cleanup. Technical regulations. But I am not claiming victory, merely that, as it turns out, and seems obvious, it was trade and some measures of private property that made the difference; not the mathematically successful one-child policy.

Also, peasants. Peasants usually have a lot of children for sound economic reasons, especially as communism's vaunted social security didnt really reach them. So it is unclear why imposing the policy is sound,and not at all clear such intrusiveness is necessary.

India has improved (not saying it's healthy) despite the resistance (it caused Indira here first job) to coerced family control. (I think she had sterilization vans picking people off the street.)

The factors in that I suspect are normal economic advancements from the old more socialist days and general advances in the human race's technology. But I think the writer inserting such a broad conclusion as one-child coercion lifted millions out of poverty is factually tenuous. Of dubious morality too that it should be roughly questioned.


Posted by: matthew hogan at December 17, 2007 08:49 PM

Well, given obvious comparisons to uncontrolled situs such as Nigeria and India, in this instance I am willing to opine given China's trajectory before the one-child policy that this is one instance where I admit Free Market was weaker mate.

Don't be an ideologue.

Posted by: The Lounsbury at December 22, 2007 12:25 PM

Demographics follow development.
mh has a point: if China had followed Taiwan and HK, it would not have had a population problem.
India has one because it followed half-assed socialist policies post-Independence. It hasn't liberalized its economy as much as China, so now it's stuck playing, for the time being, second fiddle to China's explosive growth.
Even Marx had this one figured out: he devoted a long section of Das Kapital to the alleged overpopulation of Ireland, and pretty much demolished any idea that it was suffering from anything of the kind (that the CCP hasn't paid attention to this section is not exactly surprising. Too busy with Mao's Little Red Engine That Couldn't). It was probably the only economically literate section in that whole mess.

Posted by: pantom at December 28, 2007 10:05 PM

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